The average price for diesel fuel nationally
was $2.928 per gallon on Sept. 30, compared to $2.649 a
month earlier and $2.038 a year ago, according to the American
Automobile Association. In the four days following the landfall
of Hurricane Katrina on August 29, diesel
prices rose 35 cents a gallon.
When Hurricanes Katrina and Rita drove
up fuel prices to record levels, it accelerated companies'
drive to abandon their reliance on trucking. "Shippers
have been looking at the trucking crisis for years; now
it's worth paying attention to," Caplice says.
Before fuel prices skyrocketed, the industry
already suffered a shortage of about 20,000 long-haul drivers,
according to the American Trucking Association. In addition,
new laws have reduced drivers' time spent on the road, making
trips longer and more expensive.
Meanwhile, shipping needs are growing
at about 3 percent per year. "The percent of workers
willing to do any truck driving is shrinking," says
Gary Petty, CEO of the American National Private Truck Counsel
in Alexander, Va.
The amount of goods shipped over highways
is expected to double over the next 20 years, Petty says;
the number of new roads isn't expected to keep pace.
When it comes to trucking costs, consumer
products manufacturers and retailers have limited options.
Trucks move about 85 percent of goods within the United
States. Many communities don't have alternatives like commercial
railroads and airports to deliver goods. And Petty says
that the past decade's increase of imported goods from China
has pushed demand for trucking freight even higher.
Many large retailers such as Wal-Mart
Stores and Home Depot have their own trucking fleet, which
they supplement with independent drivers who own cabs and
trailers. Smaller retailers will hire independent drivers
or rely upon manufacturers to deliver goods.
The increase in fuel costs hit manufacturers
and independent truck drivers hardest, observers say. In
the past, manufacturers could push higher transportation
costs to truckers, but independent drivers and trucking
companies now have leverage due to the driver shortage.
According to the Grocery Manufacturers
Association (GMA), the cost of transportation for manufacturers
has increased 23 percent over the past three years, to $1.69
per mile.
What's more, manufacturers can expect
increases in surcharges, says MIT's Caplice. Once a week,
fuel surcharges -- which truckers levy on shippers -- are
adjusted based on the U.S. Department of Energy's national
survey price of gas prices reported each Monday afternoon.
For instance, for every 6-cent per gallon increase in fuel
prices, the trucker can charge shippers, manufacturers or
retailers a cent more per mile.
"Instead of weekly, truckers are
now assessing surcharges [twice a week] because prices have
been so volatile," Caplice adds.
Craig Robins, president of Robins Consulting,
a logistics and supply chain search firm in Dallas, says
that the driver shortage and rising diesel prices have made
it impossible for manufacturers and retailers to resist
surcharges. "Fortune 500 companies are all having a
difficult time," he says.
As a result, manufacturers are relying
upon rail and other alternatives where they once used trucks,
especially for imported goods, Caplice says. Rail becomes
more appealing the longer the distance. The cost is about
20 percent less than trucking, but delivery usually takes
longer.
For its part, the trucking industry is
trying to reduce the number of trucks with less than a full
load, says Bruce Barren, former CEO of two trucking companies,
including Four Winds Enterprises, and current CEO of investment
firm EMCOL Hanover.
Trucking organizations now have sophisticated
software to track mileage and fuel use, Caplice says. "Truckers
are getting better at saying 'no' and not just taking on
any load," he says.
Manufacturers and retailers have built
additional distribution centers, which has reduced driving
distances. Consumer products companies are also using more
carriers to increase capacity. Over the past decade, manufacturers
had consolidated their shipping with a few companies to
generate economies of scale, Barren says.
One issue is that retailers' and consumer
product companies' transportation goals aren't always in
sync. The transportation cost can comprise a large percentage
of making goods, but a small cost for retailers, says Robin
Lanier, transportation consultant to the National Retail
Federation. Transportation accounts for 62 percent of a
manufacturers' logistics costs according to the GMA.
Even more than costs, retailers are concerned
with goods getting shelved promptly. "Retailers are
concerned about the availability of trucking and that consumers
have less disposable income to spend at stores," Lanier
says.